July 9, 2008

Iran Shows Its Got Gun

Filed under: 08 Election, Barack Obama, Iran, John McCain — MFunk @ 4:12 pm

Iran conducted a highly visible test of mid-range and long-range ballistic missiles today; many reacted by declaring it proof that they’re crazy, when in fact it’s proof that they’re not.

…even as Ahmadinejad and other Iranian officials have dismissed the possibility of attack, Tehran has stepped up its warnings of retaliation if the Americans—or Israelis—do launch military action, including threats to hit Israel and U.S. Gulf bases with missiles and stop oil traffic from the Gulf.

Think about it: For the last five years, Iran has literally had a gun pressed into its guts - a gun in the form of the most powerful military in the world. And over the last year or so, the person pressing that gun into their guts has been yelling about “obliterating” them or “eliminating” them, while another assailant - Israel - makes similar demonstrations of force.

So there you are, you’re Iran; you’re the guy in the dark alley with someone pointing a potential murder weapon at your head and promising your days are numbered … and you have a gun too.

And today, Iran just showed its gun. After having Israel conduct war games and John Bolton suggest that Bush would make sure we’re good and entangled in a military solution to Iran’s nuclear program before he left office, Iran has responded by saying, “I can hurt you too. Back off.”

It doesn’t make it look any safer. Hopefully, it makes it look saner.

Obama’s response has been to urge the President to actually address this with direct talks with Iran, just like in the good old Cold War days, rather than getting half-hearted Europeans and State Department water carriers to handle it.

McCain urged for a missile shield. I think that is completely without merit if it’s done like the Bush administration has handled the shield - namely, breaking all treaties pertaining to it and sparking an arms race before the thing is even able to protect us. Considering I expect no less from McCain, and that his plan doesn’t even begin to address the root of the problem of Iran, it’s no shock I think Obama has the better solution.

Iran needs to be talked to; convinced to put the gun down and back away from the podium of scary talk. Not threatened further by a gun that, in the case of our missile shield program, isn’t even loaded.

That, after all, would be crazy.

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3 Comments »

  1. Great commentary! Once again Senator Obama shows his intelligence and pragmatism, while McCain shows his terrifying ignorance! Oh sure, let’s build that nice little umbrella — so that would happen when? After half the Middle East is destroyed by conflict? Just like oil drilling, it would only take 10 years or more to finally see results. I can wait; I have a nice little pink parasol I can use in the meantime. Maybe I will lend it to McCain.

    Comment by Cranky Woman — July 10, 2008 @ 9:25 am

  2. You’re spot on! Iran is understandably tired of the constant show of disrespect by Bush and the surviving Neo-cons. After wayching Israel demonstrate its well-known ability to reach Iran with mass-destructive firepower, Mahmoud and Co.quite naturally tried to respond in kind…They even went so far as to doctor the four-missile photo that graced front pages around the world.

    The truth is they do not want to commit suicide….They have no payload that could do any serious harm to Israel, and they understand they’d be severely punished for trying.

    If pushed far enough, Iran might mess with the Strait of Hormuz, but only in retaliation for an aggressive action against their interests….These people are not crazy, notwithstanding the occasionally absurd words of Ahmandinejad and the rocket display.

    Comment by The Luddite — July 10, 2008 @ 9:48 pm

  3. Here, here, Luddite, and welcome to the fray - or, as the case is so far, the united front.

    I agree that the central strategic question as to the fate of Iran - perhaps the fate of the broader Middle East - is not whether Iran will ignore our deterrent and attack, but rather whether we will attack Iran before it has a deterrent in place that will counteract their total vulnerability to us.

    Comment by MFunk — July 11, 2008 @ 10:05 am

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